Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000764 0.000872 0.000986 0.001115 0.001257 0.001409 0.001582
2025-03-30 0.000592 0.000741 0.000909 0.001113 0.001351 0.001618 0.001940
2025-04-06 0.000494 0.000659 0.000855 0.001102 0.001402 0.001751 0.002185
2025-04-13 0.000415 0.000587 0.000802 0.001082 0.001433 0.001854 0.002391
2025-04-20 0.000372 0.000555 0.000789 0.001105 0.001513 0.002013 0.002665
2025-04-27 0.000334 0.000523 0.000773 0.001120 0.001579 0.002154 0.002918
2025-05-04 0.000293 0.000481 0.000739 0.001108 0.001607 0.002245 0.003107
2025-05-11 0.000256 0.000440 0.000703 0.001088 0.001621 0.002315 0.003270
2025-05-18 0.000234 0.000420 0.000693 0.001102 0.001679 0.002444 0.003510
2025-05-25 0.000211 0.000397 0.000676 0.001104 0.001721 0.002550 0.003721
2025-06-01 0.000183 0.000361 0.000637 0.001071 0.001710 0.002584 0.003835
2025-06-08 0.000159 0.000329 0.000601 0.001041 0.001701 0.002618 0.003948
2025-06-15 0.000143 0.000310 0.000585 0.001039 0.001733 0.002711 0.004146
2025-06-22 0.000129 0.000292 0.000570 0.001038 0.001766 0.002805 0.004349
2025-06-29 0.000115 0.000273 0.000550 0.001028 0.001783 0.002877 0.004520
2025-07-06 0.000101 0.000252 0.000525 0.001008 0.001785 0.002926 0.004658
2025-07-13 0.000095 0.000246 0.000527 0.001031 0.001852 0.003071 0.004936
2025-07-20 0.000088 0.000238 0.000523 0.001045 0.001906 0.003197 0.005190
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000223 0.000506 0.001033 0.001918 0.003261 0.005353
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000207 0.000484 0.001014 0.001917 0.003304 0.005486
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000200 0.000482 0.001027 0.001969 0.003429 0.005742
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000191 0.000473 0.001030 0.002003 0.003525 0.005956
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000175 0.000447 0.000999 0.001979 0.003532 0.006036